Following on from his 16/1 winner and both 40/1 and 50/1 place finishes last week, here are Ian’s tops for this week.
The KLM Open returns to the Hilversumsche Golf Course after it was last played at this venue in 2005 when Spaniard Gonzalo Fernandez –Castano came out on top. The course is a 6906 long yard par 70. On the card at least, it seems quite unorthodox. There are two par fives and four par threes which is fine, except both par fives are less than five hundred yards and the difference in length between the longest par four and the shortest par five is only two yards. Even though the par fives are extremely timid, Hilversumsche does boast some bullish par fours and par threes. As well as this, it is quite tight, with trees lining most of the fairways, so accuracy will be important. So what we are looking for is someone who is long, to deal with the length of some of the longer holes, and someone who is accurate. It will all be about tee to green play this week so putting and the short game won’t have too much to do with my selection.
Francesco Molinari each way @ 12/1
Living somewhat in the shadow of his older brother this year, Molinari will look to win his first title in four years. Saying ‘living in his brother’s shadow’ is a bit cruel because Francesco has had a very good year despite being unable to muster up a victory. He has had five top fives and has been so close on numerous occasions, yet, no win. However, Im hoping that might now change. Molinari has stated that he does not want to be the only automatic pick on the Ryder Cup side without a victory so this will hopefully spur him on. As for the stats and, in terms of the long game, Francesco Molinari is one of the best out there. He is shorter than average off the tee but don’t let this fool you as he hits a lot of greens in regulation. His putting and short game aren’t the best but his accurate long game more than makes up for this. All signs point to the Italian this week.
Seung-yul Noh each way @ 40/1
He did us proud last week and I think it’s only wise to stick with him. Sure the course is tight and his stats in terms of accuracy aren’t amazing but this is mostly because he hits the ball so far out there that he runs out of fairway a lot of the time. The young Korean hits a lot of greens in regulation and as well as this, he’s a terrific putter. As I aluded to last week, being a winner on Tour can only benefit him and this is why I chose him over fellow youngster Matteo Manassero. A future great of the game in good form, I can’t see a reason why not to back him.
Peter Lawrie each way @ 40/1
The Irishman’s form has been very hit and miss lately, with him hitting form last week finishing in a tie for ninth. He also tied second in a playoff at the Czech Open, losing in a playoff to Peter Hanson. Lawrie has had six top tens already this year so it has been a successful year and one that could get a whole lot more successful this week. Lawrie has the game for Hilversumsche. Despite being relatively short, he hits a lot of fairways in regulation and an even greater number of greens in regulation. Statistically his short game is sharp even though his putting might not be. However, he showed us that he can change his putting around very easily when he won the Open de Espana in 2008. With these odds Lawrie is a player that cannot be ignored.
